Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostrov vs Velvary

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group B game between Ostrov and Velvary finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostrov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ostrov
15%
Draws
59%
Velvary
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Velvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ostrov have managed 1.57 goals a game lately — Velvary are scoring more at 1.61.
  • Velvary are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ostrov Clean Sheet 10%
Velvary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrov Velvary
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Ostrov vs Velvary
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrov 14 / 100
Velvary 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrov Velvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velvary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrov found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Velvary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ostrov has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ostrov VS Velvary
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrov

(Home)
19 Sept
Ostrov
1 : 3
Psary
12 Sept
Vysehrad
2 : 2
Ostrov
06 Sept
Ostrov
3 : 1
Velvary
29 Aug
Ujezd Prague
3 : 2
Ostrov
16 Aug
Hostoun
6 : 0
Ostrov
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Velvary

(Away)
20 Sept
Hostoun
5 : 1
Velvary
12 Sept
Velvary
2 : 1
Tempo Prague
06 Sept
Ostrov
3 : 1
Velvary
29 Aug
Velvary
2 : 1
Karlovy Vary
21 Aug
Hvezda Cheb
3 : 4
Velvary
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