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Ostrovets vs Niva Dolbizno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga City Stadium, Ostrovets
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostrovets host Niva Dolbizno in the Pershaya Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Ostrovets at 1.66 goals for, 1.45 against; Niva Dolbizno at 2.83 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Ostrovets have won 0 to Niva Dolbizno's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.94) back Niva Dolbizno to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ostrovets
35%
Draws
38%
Niva Dolbizno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Niva Dolbizno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ostrovets haven't matched Niva Dolbizno's recent run of results.
  • Niva Dolbizno are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Niva Dolbizno here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 10%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrovets Niva Dolbizno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 21
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.66 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Ostrovets
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Niva Dolbizno
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Ostrovets
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Ostrovets
1:0
Jul 7, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Niva Dolbizno
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovets 26 / 100
Niva Dolbizno 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrovets Niva Dolbizno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niva Dolbizno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ostrovets scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Niva Dolbizno has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ostrovets went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrovets VS Niva Dolbizno
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrovets

(Home)
01 Nov
Ostrovets
2 : 1
Slutsk
23 Oct
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 2
Ostrovets
17 Oct
Ostrovets
1 : 1
Soligorsk
10 Oct
Ostrovets
1 : 2
FC Slonim
02 Oct
BATE 2
1 : 1
Ostrovets
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Niva Dolbizno

(Away)
31 Oct
BATE 2
2 : 4
Niva Dolbizno
25 Oct
Niva Dolbizno
1 : 1
Uni X Labs
17 Oct
Molodechno
2 : 4
Niva Dolbizno
10 Oct
Niva Dolbizno
5 : 2
FC Gomel 2
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 31 20 6 5 61:30 66
2 FK Lida 31 21 3 7 57:44 66
3 Niva Dolbizno 31 20 5 6 81:38 65
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 31 19 5 7 68:36 62
5 FC Slonim 31 16 5 10 53:38 53
6 Soligorsk 31 14 8 9 62:46 50
7 Molodechno 31 15 3 13 53:51 48
8 Ostrovets 31 10 12 9 43:43 42
9 Volna Pinsk 31 12 5 14 46:56 41
10 BumProm Gomel 31 12 5 14 56:51 41
11 Smorgon 31 11 6 14 36:41 39
12 Din. Minsk 2 30 11 5 14 43:45 38
13 FC Minsk 2 31 11 3 17 46:59 36
14 Uni X Labs 31 8 9 14 32:40 33
15 Orsha 31 9 6 16 38:58 33
16 FC Gomel 2 31 6 6 19 43:66 24
17 Osipovichi 31 6 5 20 34:79 23
18 BATE 2 30 5 7 18 39:70 22
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