Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostrovets vs Orsha

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga City Stadium, Ostrovets
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Yakimovich N.
4'
Tarbyakov N.
7' Event
Vekhtev N.

AI Match Summary

Orsha in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orsha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ostrovets
15%
Draws
21%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ostrovets average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of Orsha's 1.34.
  • Ostrovets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 16%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrovets Orsha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Orsha
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Ostrovets
1:3
Jul 26, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Orsha
6:2
Sep 15, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Orsha
0:5
May 17, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Ostrovets
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrovets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Vekhtev N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tikhomirov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovets 84 / 100
Orsha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrovets Orsha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrovets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Ostrovets's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ostrovets stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrovets VS Orsha
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrovets

(Home)
29 Aug
Ostrovets
2 : 0
Volna Pinsk
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1
Ostrovets
16 Aug
Ostrovets
1 : 4
BumProm Gomel
10 Aug
FC Minsk 2
1 : 2
Ostrovets
05 Aug
Ostrovets
2 : 0
Osipovichi
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Orsha

(Away)
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2
Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4
Din. Minsk 2
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2
BATE 2
15 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 0
Orsha
10 Aug
Orsha
0 : 3
Molodechno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 22 14 3 5 57:26 45
2 Slutsk 22 13 5 4 43:23 44
3 FK Lida 22 13 3 6 42:35 42
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 22 12 5 5 43:26 41
5 Molodechno 22 12 2 8 38:34 38
6 FC Slonim 22 11 3 8 40:28 36
7 BumProm Gomel 22 10 4 8 41:33 34
8 Din. Minsk 2 22 9 4 9 40:35 31
9 Volna Pinsk 22 9 4 9 37:39 31
10 Soligorsk 22 8 5 9 42:40 29
11 FC Minsk 2 22 9 2 11 30:38 29
12 Ostrovets 22 6 9 7 27:31 27
13 Orsha 22 7 4 11 25:40 25
14 Uni X Labs 22 6 6 10 21:28 24
15 Smorgon 22 6 5 11 26:33 23
16 FC Gomel 2 22 5 6 11 30:39 21
17 BATE 2 22 4 6 12 31:51 18
18 Osipovichi 22 5 2 15 23:57 17
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)