Sport Picks

Belarus

Pershaya Liga City Stadium

Ostrovets

1 - 2

Orsha

Our Tip

Match Events

Yakimovich N.

Tarbyakov N.

Vekhtev N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orsha in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orsha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Ostrovets

20%

Draws

38%

Orsha

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ostrovets lately — more wins on the board than Orsha.
Ostrovets are the model's pick here, at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Ostrovets Clean Sheet 20%

Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ostrovets	Orsha
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	10	7
Draws	10	3
Losses	9	18
Goals Scored	2.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Pershaya Liga

Ostrovets vs Orsha

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Nov 22, 2025 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs Ostrovets

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

1:3

Jul 26, 2025 Pershaya Liga

Ostrovets vs Orsha

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

6:2

Sep 15, 2024 Pershaya Liga

Ostrovets vs Orsha

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 4 - 3

0:5

May 17, 2024 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs Ostrovets

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrovets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Vekhtev N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tikhomirov D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovets 42 / 100

Orsha 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ostrovets Orsha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Ostrovets's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ostrovets stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrovets VS Orsha

2.13 Goals Scored 0.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slutsk	15	11	2	2	32:16	35
2	SKA-1938 Minsk	15	10	4	1	37:16	34
3	FK Lida	15	8	3	4	27:23	27
4	FC Slonim	15	8	3	4	28:17	27
5	Niva Dolbizno	15	8	3	4	35:18	27
6	Soligorsk	15	7	4	4	33:20	25
7	BumProm Gomel	15	7	3	5	30:21	24
8	Din. Minsk 2	14	7	3	4	29:20	24
9	Volna Pinsk	15	7	2	6	25:25	23
10	Molodechno	15	6	1	8	21:31	19
11	FC Gomel 2	15	4	5	6	23:21	17
12	FC Minsk 2	15	5	1	9	18:31	16
13	Orsha	14	4	3	7	15:25	15
14	Ostrovets	15	2	9	4	18:21	15
15	Uni X Labs	15	4	3	8	13:24	15
16	Smorgon	15	3	5	7	18:24	14
17	BATE 2	15	2	5	8	20:37	11
18	Osipovichi	15	1	1	13	15:47	4