Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ostrovets play Smorgon in the Pershaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ostrovets averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Smorgon averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Ostrovets won 1, Smorgon won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Ostrovets and 2.06 for Smorgon. This points to a Ostrovets double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ostrovets picked up more points recently compared to Smorgon.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrovets | Smorgon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ostrovets scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Smorgon let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Ostrovets went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Smorgon lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 37:16 | 34 |
| 2 | Slutsk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30:16 | 32 |
| 3 | Niva Dolbizno | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35:18 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Slonim | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 27 |
| 5 | FK Lida | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Din. Minsk 2 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 7 | Volna Pinsk | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | BumProm Gomel | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:20 | 23 |
| 9 | Soligorsk | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 29:18 | 22 |
| 10 | Molodechno | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 19:28 | 19 |
| 11 | FC Gomel 2 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:20 | 16 |
| 12 | Ostrovets | 15 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Orsha | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:24 | 14 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Minsk 2 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15:29 | 13 |
| 16 | Uni X Labs | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 17 | BATE 2 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Osipovichi | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15:46 | 4 |