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Ostrovets vs Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup City Stadium
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostrovets host Vitebsk in the Belarusian Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ostrovets at 2 goals for, 1.38 against; Vitebsk at 1 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Ostrovets have won 0 to Vitebsk's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2023, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.19) point toward Ostrovets. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ostrovets
22%
Draws
60%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ostrovets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Vitebsk taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Belarusian Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 20%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrovets Vitebsk
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Ostrovets
3:0
Jun 10, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Vitebsk
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovets 20 / 100
Vitebsk 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrovets Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrovets's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Vitebsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ostrovets stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrovets VS Vitebsk
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn3
FK Lida4
TBD-
Zhodino-
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
TBD-
BATE-
Technolog Mogilev0
FC Slonim6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Polotsk0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
FK Baranovici-
Minskoe More0
SKA-1938 Minsk3
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Bobovnya0
BumProm Gomel2
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Leskhoz0
Soligorsk3
TBD-
Neman-
Stanles Pinsk1
Krumkachy4
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Krechet0
Ostrovets8
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha7
TBD-
Naftan-
Neman Mosty1
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Ivatsevichi1
Slutsk3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Vertical Kalinkovichi0
Smorgon7
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Nadezhda Baranovici0
TBD-
Belshina-
BGU Minsk0
Osipovichi2
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev-
1/16-finals
FK Lida-
Zhodino-
Molodechno1
BATE4
FC Slonim-
Isloch Minsk-
Uni X Labs-
FK Baranovici-
SKA-1938 Minsk3
ML Vitebsk5
BumProm Gomel-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Soligorsk-
Neman-
Krumkachy-
Dynamo Brest-
Ostrovets-
Vitebsk-
Orsha-
Naftan-
Niva Dolbizno-
FC Gomel-
Volna Pinsk-
Slavia Mozyr-
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk2
Smorgon-
FC Minsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka-
Belshina-
Osipovichi-
Dnepr Mogilev-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-