Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostrovets vs Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup City Stadium, Ostrovets
Ostrovets Logo

Ostrovets

Sat, Jul 18, 2026
2 - 3
03:00 PM
Vitebsk Logo

Vitebsk

Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Mikhey E.
45'
Minaev R.
46'
Sub
Anufriev A. In: Krasnov E.
Out: Anufriev A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ostrovets
15%
Draws
39%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ostrovets taking it.
  • Vitebsk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitebsk, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vitebsk have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 19%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrovets Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.72 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Ostrovets vs Vitebsk
2:3
Oct 14, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Ostrovets
3:0
Jun 10, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Vitebsk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrovets Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zgomba M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pesnyak D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovets 42 / 100
Vitebsk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrovets Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrovets's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Vitebsk conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ostrovets stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrovets VS Vitebsk
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrovets

(Home)
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1
FC Gomel 2
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
29 Aug
Ostrovets
2 : 0
Volna Pinsk
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 6

Vitebsk

(Away)
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
21 Aug
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -