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Stadium Background

Ostrovets vs Volna Pinsk Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga City Stadium, Ostrovets
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Zaytsev I.
33'
Sub
Davyskiba R. In: Skripnik G.
Out: Davyskiba R.
46'
Sub
Yakimovich N. In: Medvedev R.
Out: Yakimovich N.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Ostrovets and Volna Pinsk finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostrovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ostrovets
20%
Draws
22%
Volna Pinsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Volna Pinsk come out ahead of Ostrovets on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ostrovets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ostrovets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 19%
Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrovets Volna Pinsk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.62 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Volna Pinsk
2:0
May 2, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Ostrovets
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Volna Pinsk
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Ostrovets
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Volna Pinsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Medvedev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Volna Pinsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovets 85 / 100
Volna Pinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrovets Volna Pinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrovets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrovets scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Volna Pinsk let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ostrovets has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ostrovets VS Volna Pinsk
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrovets

(Home)
02 Oct
BATE 2
1 : 1
Ostrovets
26 Sept
Uni X Labs
1 : 1
Ostrovets
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1
FC Gomel 2
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
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Volna Pinsk

(Away)
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
Slutsk
1 : 0
Volna Pinsk
04 Sept
Volna Pinsk
2 : 1
Din. Minsk 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
2 Slutsk 26 16 6 4 52:27 54
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 26 15 5 6 53:31 50
5 FC Slonim 26 14 4 8 48:31 46
6 Molodechno 25 14 3 8 44:36 45
7 Soligorsk 26 11 6 9 51:43 39
8 BumProm Gomel 26 11 5 10 50:40 38
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 26 8 6 12 31:36 30
13 FC Minsk 2 26 9 3 14 36:48 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 26 5 6 15 36:52 21
18 Osipovichi 26 5 4 17 29:65 19
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