Sport Picks
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Biala Podlaska - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski 
Match Events
54'
54'
Snopczynski B.
90'
90'
Grochowski M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski and Biala Podlaska finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski come out ahead of Biala Podlaska on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 20%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | Biala Podlaska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Biala Podlaska
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Biala Podlaska
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2:1
Nov 15, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Biala Podlaska
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Top Goalscorer Snopczynski B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Biala Podlaska Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 85 / 100
Biala Podlaska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Biala Podlaska
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Biala Podlaska let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Biala Podlaska
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Home) 10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
23 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 4
Biala Podlaska
(Away) 10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0 Biala Podlaska
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0 Biala Podlaska
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
