Sport Picks
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Busko-Zdroj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski 
Match Events
15'
15'
Lisowski D.
32'
32'
Posluszny J.
42'
42'
Posluszny J.
AI Match Summary
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Busko-Zdroj
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have won more games recently than Busko-Zdroj.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 20%
Busko-Zdroj Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | Busko-Zdroj |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 20 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Busko-Zdroj
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Top Goalscorer Posluszny J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lisowski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Busko-Zdroj Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 36 / 100
Busko-Zdroj 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Busko-Zdroj
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Busko-Zdroj conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Busko-Zdroj
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Home) 03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
23 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
14 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
3 : 2 Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 4
Busko-Zdroj
(Away) 04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0 Wisla II
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
06 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 4
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
29 Aug
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
22 Aug
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Aug
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
