Sport Picks
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Chelmianka Chelm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski 
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski and Chelmianka Chelm finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Chelmianka Chelm carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 19%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:0
May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:3
Apr 26, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Chelmianka Chelm
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 49 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Chelmianka Chelm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Chelmianka Chelm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Chelmianka Chelm
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Home) 10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
23 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 4
Chelmianka Chelm
(Away) 10 Oct
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Star Starachowice
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
23 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
15 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 3 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
