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Stadium Background

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Hetman Zamosc

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021 Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bayramov F.
45' Event
Bayramov F.
63' Event
Szatala P.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021 game between Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski and Hetman Zamosc finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
6%
Draws
4%
Hetman Zamosc
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski come out ahead of Hetman Zamosc on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 20%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Hetman Zamosc
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 25 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Hetman Zamosc
6:0
Sep 26, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:4
May 23, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Hetman Zamosc
0:0
May 23, 2009 Division 2 - East
Hetman Zamosc vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayramov F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Paluch M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 85 / 100
Hetman Zamosc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Hetman Zamosc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hetman Zamosc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Hetman Zamosc
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

(Home)
22 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
7 : 1
Bochnia
17 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 0
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
01 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
6 : 0
Star Starachowice
09 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
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Hetman Zamosc

(Away)
25 Jul
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
18 Jul
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Hetman Zamosc
08 Jul
Leczna
0 : 1
Hetman Zamosc
22 Feb
Lublinianka
4 : 0
Hetman Zamosc
18 Feb
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla Pulawy403064100:3196
2Chelmianka Chelm402271170:4573
3Sokol Sieniawa402110962:3773
4Stal Stalowa Wola402271177:4473
5Avia Swidnik4020101088:4070
6Wisloka Debica4020101075:4570
7Podhale Nowy Targ4018111158:4965
8Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska401881474:5862
9Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski401941763:5061
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg401781559:5259
11Cracovia II401591656:4954
12Sandomierz401591653:6254
13LKS Lagow4014101657:6252
14Biala Podlaska401462060:8448
15Orleta Radzyn401452158:7147
16Lewart Lubartow4011131646:4846
17Wiazownica401372053:8146
18Korona Kielce II401262250:7842
19Stal Krasnik4010121851:5842
20Jutrzenka Giebultow40772648:10928
21Hetman Zamosc40353235:14014
Promotion - Division 2 2021/2022 (Main)