Sport Picks
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Hetman Zamosc - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski 
Match Events
63'
63'
Gorski M.
70'
70'
Skiba D.
90'
90'
Lepiarz D.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski and Hetman Zamosc finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hetman Zamosc.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Hetman Zamosc haven't matched Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 16%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | Hetman Zamosc |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Hetman Zamosc
1:2
May 1, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Hetman Zamosc
6:0
Sep 26, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:4
May 23, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Hetman Zamosc
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Top Goalscorer Gorski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Hetman Zamosc Compare
Top Goalscorer Skiba D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lepiarz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 75 / 100
Hetman Zamosc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Hetman Zamosc
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hetman Zamosc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Hetman Zamosc
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Home) 10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
23 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 4
Hetman Zamosc
(Away) 04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3 Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
29 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Aug
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
07 Aug
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Hetman Zamosc
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
