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Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Kolbuszowa Dolna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:29 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski host Kolbuszowa Dolna in the III Liga - Group IV. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have averaged 1.97 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Kolbuszowa Dolna's 1.1 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.00) point toward Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
35%
Draws
28%
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski come out ahead of Kolbuszowa Dolna on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 20%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Kolbuszowa Dolna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
4:0
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 67 / 100
Kolbuszowa Dolna 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Kolbuszowa Dolna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kolbuszowa Dolna has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Kolbuszowa Dolna
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

(Home)
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0
Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6

Kolbuszowa Dolna

(Away)
11 Oct
Naprzod Jedrzejow
1 : 0
Kolbuszowa Dolna
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2
Moravia Morawica
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
20 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Naprzod Jedrzejow 12 7 2 3 28:21 23
4 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
5 Czarni Polaniec 12 6 2 4 18:17 20
6 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Hetman Zamosc 12 4 5 3 21:20 17
9 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
10 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
11 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 12 2 7 3 12:13 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)