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Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Naprzod Jedrzejow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Stanek K.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Gorski M.
48' Event
Belych Y.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV game between Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski and Naprzod Jedrzejow finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
30%
Draws
43%
Naprzod Jedrzejow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Naprzod Jedrzejow haven't matched Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Naprzod Jedrzejow a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 14%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Naprzod Jedrzejow
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.04 1.96
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belych Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare

Top Goalscorer Siudak K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 27 / 100
Naprzod Jedrzejow 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Naprzod Jedrzejow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naprzod Jedrzejow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naprzod Jedrzejow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Naprzod Jedrzejow
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

(Home)
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0
Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
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Naprzod Jedrzejow

(Away)
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2
Naprzod Jedrzejow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)