Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 Miejski Stadion Sportowy

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

4 - 2

Sandomierz

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Belczowski K.

60'

Nawrot M.

64'

Wyjadlowski M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Draws

Sandomierz

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have won more games recently than Sandomierz.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 20%

Sandomierz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	Sandomierz
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	19	6
Draws	4	6
Losses	7	18
Goals Scored	1.63	0
Goals Conceded	1	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Sandomierz

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

4:2

Feb 15, 2023 Club Friendly

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Sandomierz

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Sep 17, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Sandomierz vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 4 - 0

0:4

Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly

Sandomierz vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

0:3

Jun 4, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Sandomierz

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Belczowski K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nawrot M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Sandomierz Compare

Top Goalscorer Wyjadlowski M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sudy M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 85 / 100

Sandomierz 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Sandomierz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandomierz let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Sandomierz has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

1 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	23	5	6	72:27	74
2	Avia Swidnik	34	19	11	4	58:26	68
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	20	7	7	75:35	67
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	17	7	10	61:36	58
5	Biala Podlaska	34	14	13	7	63:42	55
6	Cracovia II	34	16	6	12	69:48	54
7	Wisloka Debica	34	15	7	12	54:46	52
8	Sokol Sieniawa	34	14	6	14	57:65	48
9	Czarni Polaniec	34	15	2	17	47:58	47
10	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	6	15	59:47	45
11	Orleta Radzyn	34	13	4	17	44:63	43
12	Chelmianka Chelm	34	10	10	14	45:47	40
13	Unia Tarnow	34	10	10	14	43:66	40
14	Wiazownica	34	11	7	16	49:59	40
15	Korona Kielce II	34	10	9	15	63:58	39
16	Sandomierz	34	7	6	21	40:91	27
17	Lublinianka	34	7	2	25	43:92	23
18	LKS Lagow	34	11	4	19	27:63	37