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Osun United vs Abakaliki Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
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AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Osun United and Abakaliki finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Osun United
15%
Draws
42%
Abakaliki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osun United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Abakaliki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Osun United Clean Sheet 20%
Abakaliki Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osun United Abakaliki
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.94 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 NNL
Abakaliki vs Osun United
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 NNL
Osun United vs Abakaliki
3:3
May 28, 2025 NNL
Abakaliki vs Osun United
2:0
Jan 4, 2025 NNL
Osun United vs Abakaliki
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osun United 32 / 100
Abakaliki 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osun United Abakaliki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abakaliki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osun United's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Abakaliki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Abakaliki registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osun United VS Abakaliki
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Osun United

(Home)
16 Apr
Osun United
0 : 1
Sporting Lagos
04 Apr
Osun United
2 : 1
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
25 Mar
Osun United
0 : 1
Stormers
14 Mar
Rovers FC
2 : 0
Osun United
Page 1 of 7

Abakaliki

(Away)
01 Jun
Barau
1 : 0
Abakaliki
16 Apr
Rovers FC
1 : 0
Abakaliki
04 Apr
Abakaliki
1 : 0
Akwa United
28 Mar
Solution
2 : 1
Abakaliki
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0
Abakaliki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)