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Osun United vs First Bank

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The NNL 2024/2025 game between Osun United and First Bank finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osun United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Osun United
15%
Draws
59%
First Bank
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: First Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • First Bank haven't matched Osun United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Osun United's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Osun United Clean Sheet 20%
First Bank Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osun United First Bank
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.94 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NNL
First Bank vs Osun United
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 NNL
Osun United vs First Bank
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 NNL
Osun United vs First Bank
3:1
Dec 7, 2024 NNL
First Bank vs Osun United
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 NNL
First Bank vs Osun United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osun United 36 / 100
First Bank 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osun United First Bank

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osun United found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: First Bank conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Osun United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Osun United VS First Bank
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Osun United

(Home)
16 Apr
Osun United
0 : 1
Sporting Lagos
04 Apr
Osun United
2 : 1
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
25 Mar
Osun United
0 : 1
Stormers
14 Mar
Rovers FC
2 : 0
Osun United
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First Bank

(Away)
16 Apr
First Bank
3 : 3
Godswill Akpabio
04 Apr
Sporting Lagos
5 : 0
First Bank
01 Apr
First Bank
1 : 0
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
15 Mar
Stormers
3 : 1
First Bank
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warri Wolves 18 11 6 1 27:11 39
2 Crown FC 18 11 3 4 17:13 36
3 Inter Lagos 18 8 6 4 24:11 30
4 Smart City 18 7 7 4 20:17 28
5 Beyond Limits FC 18 6 6 6 30:23 24
6 Abia Comets 18 5 8 5 17:14 23
7 Edel FC 18 6 3 9 19:20 21
8 Dakkada FC 18 3 9 6 22:27 18
9 Ijele 18 4 3 11 17:33 15
10 Igbajo 18 2 3 13 7:31 9
11 1472 FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kun Khalifa 20 10 7 3 21:13 37
2 Osun United 20 11 3 6 21:13 36
3 Sporting Lagos 20 9 5 6 27:16 32
4 Rovers FC 20 9 4 7 23:21 31
5 Solution 20 8 5 7 27:24 29
6 ABS 20 8 2 10 18:23 26
7 Godswill Akpabio 20 6 6 8 22:19 24
8 First Bank 20 7 3 10 17:26 24
9 Abakaliki 20 6 5 9 17:20 23
10 Madiba 20 7 2 11 25:33 23
11 Gateway United 20 6 4 10 21:31 22
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wikki Tourists 12 7 2 3 21:10 23
2 Barau 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
3 Gombe 12 6 0 6 13:11 18
4 Sokoto United 12 5 1 6 8:9 16
5 Mighty Jets 12 4 3 5 9:12 15
6 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 4 2 6 11:16 14
7 Zamfara United 12 4 2 6 10:18 14
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yobe Stars 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
2 Doma United 12 5 4 3 14:11 19
3 Kebbi 12 5 3 4 18:14 18
4 Basira 12 4 4 4 13:14 16
5 Sporting Supreme 12 5 1 6 13:17 16
6 Kada Warriors 12 4 3 5 12:16 15
7 Adamawa Utd 12 4 1 7 15:18 13
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)