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Osun United vs Sporting Lagos

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Lagos in this NNL matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Lagos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Osun United
15%
Draws
59%
Sporting Lagos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Lagos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting Lagos lately — more wins on the board than Osun United.
  • Sporting Lagos are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular NNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Osun United Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Lagos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osun United Sporting Lagos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.39 1.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 NNL
Osun United vs Sporting Lagos
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 NNL
Sporting Lagos vs Osun United
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 NNL
Osun United vs Sporting Lagos
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 NNL
Sporting Lagos vs Osun United
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osun United 22 / 100
Sporting Lagos 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osun United Sporting Lagos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Lagos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osun United scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sporting Lagos conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Osun United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osun United VS Sporting Lagos
0.4 Goals Scored 2.38
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.38
60% Over 1.5 50%
20% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osun United

(Home)
16 Apr
Osun United
0 : 1
Sporting Lagos
04 Apr
Osun United
2 : 1
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
25 Mar
Osun United
0 : 1
Stormers
14 Mar
Rovers FC
2 : 0
Osun United
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Sporting Lagos

(Away)
26 Sept
Sporting Lagos
1 : 1
Barau
23 Sept
Enyimba International
2 : 3
Sporting Lagos
20 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0 : 2
Abia Warriors
13 Sept
Inter Lagos
0 : 3
Sporting Lagos
30 Aug
Doma United
2 : 0
Sporting Lagos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)