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Stadium Background

Oswestry Town FC vs Caernarfon

Wales Wales

Premier 2002/2003
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AI Match Summary

The Premier 2002/2003 game between Oswestry Town FC and Caernarfon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oswestry Town FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Oswestry Town FC
6%
Draws
90%
Caernarfon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caernarfon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Oswestry Town FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caernarfon a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Oswestry Town FC Clean Sheet 18%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oswestry Town FC Caernarfon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2003 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Oswestry Town FC
1:1
Dec 5, 2002 Cymru Premier
Oswestry Town FC vs Caernarfon
3:0
Jan 18, 2002 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Oswestry Town FC
4:1
Sep 7, 2001 Cymru Premier
Oswestry Town FC vs Caernarfon
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oswestry Town FC 10 / 100
Caernarfon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oswestry Town FC Caernarfon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oswestry Town FC scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Caernarfon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Oswestry Town FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caernarfon
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barry Town34265384:2683
2TNS34248268:2180
3Bangor City34225775:3471
4Aberystwyth34179854:3860
5Connahs Q.341851155:4659
6Rhyl341771052:3358
7Afan Lido3414101044:3452
8Caersws FC341561357:5251
9Cwmbran Town341481251:4050
10Newtown341261648:5442
11Port Talbot341161736:5139
12Cefn Druids341151837:5138
13Haverfordwest341051940:6835
14Caernarfon348101643:5334
15Carmarthen Town34952033:6632
16Oswestry Town FC346101836:6728
17Welshpool34772030:6228
18Llanelli34452542:8917