Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Otelul vs Farul Constanta

Romania Romania

Superliga 2025/2026 Stadionul Otelul, Galati
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lameira J.
39' Event
Conrado
(Penalty)
51'
Tomas S.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga 2025/2026 game between Otelul and Farul Constanta finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Otelul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Otelul
6%
Draws
4%
Farul Constanta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Otelul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Otelul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Otelul taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Otelul Clean Sheet 68%
Farul Constanta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otelul Farul Constanta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Farul Constanta vs Otelul
0:0
May 9, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs Farul Constanta
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Superliga
Otelul vs Farul Constanta
2:2
Jul 20, 2025 Superliga
Farul Constanta vs Otelul
3:2
Jun 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Farul Constanta vs Otelul
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otelul Compare

Top Goalscorer Iacob P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bordun D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Farul Constanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Alibec D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dican V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otelul 95 / 100
Farul Constanta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otelul Farul Constanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Otelul went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Otelul's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Farul Constanta has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Otelul VS Farul Constanta
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Otelul

(Home)
24 Jul
FC UTA Arad
2 : 2
Otelul
18 Jul
Otelul
2 : 1
CFR Cluj
11 Jul
Otelul
3 : 1
FC Bacau
03 Jul
Farul Constanta
0 : 0
Otelul
18 May
Petrolul
1 : 5
Otelul
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Farul Constanta

(Away)
25 Jul
Farul Constanta
2 : 0
Corvinul Hunedoara
19 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
2 : 1
Farul Constanta
11 Jul
Dinamo Bucuresti
1 : 3
Farul Constanta
11 Jul
Voluntari
3 : 0
Farul Constanta
08 Jul
Farul Constanta
0 : 1
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7FC UTA Arad952214:739
8FCSB942313:937
9Otelul942317:1535
10FC Botosani933313:1733
11Miercurea Ciuc952211:833
12Petrolul92349:1525
13Farul Constanta91358:1125
14FC Hermannstadt934213:1025
15Unirea Slobozia923411:1322
16Metaloglobus Bucharest924310:1416
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Main)