Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Otelul vs Farul Constanta

Romania Romania

Superliga 2025/2026 Stadionul Otelul, Galati
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lameira J.
39' Event
Conrado
(Penalty)
51'
Tomas S.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga 2025/2026 game between Otelul and Farul Constanta finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Otelul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Otelul
35%
Draws
39%
Farul Constanta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Farul Constanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Otelul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Farul Constanta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Otelul Clean Sheet 16%
Farul Constanta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otelul Farul Constanta
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Farul Constanta vs Otelul
0:0
May 9, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs Farul Constanta
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Superliga
Otelul vs Farul Constanta
2:2
Jul 20, 2025 Superliga
Farul Constanta vs Otelul
3:2
Jun 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Farul Constanta vs Otelul
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otelul Compare

Top Goalscorer Iacob P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bordun D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Farul Constanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Alibec D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dican V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otelul 23 / 100
Farul Constanta 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otelul Farul Constanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farul Constanta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Otelul scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Farul Constanta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Otelul has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Otelul VS Farul Constanta
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Otelul

(Home)
21 Sept
Otelul
2 : 3
Corvinul Hunedoara
14 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
3 : 0
Otelul
06 Sept
Otelul
0 : 1
Rapid Bucuresti
28 Aug
Voluntari
2 : 2
Otelul
24 Aug
Otelul
1 : 0
Campionii Arges
Page 1 of 6

Farul Constanta

(Away)
20 Sept
Dinamo Bucuresti
4 : 0
Farul Constanta
11 Sept
Farul Constanta
4 : 2
FC UTA Arad
04 Sept
CFR Cluj
0 : 0
Farul Constanta
30 Aug
Farul Constanta
0 : 0
FC Botosani
23 Aug
Sepsi
1 : 1
Farul Constanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 FC UTA Arad 9 5 2 2 14:7 39
8 FCSB 9 4 2 3 13:9 37
9 Otelul 9 4 2 3 17:15 35
10 FC Botosani 9 3 3 3 13:17 33
11 Miercurea Ciuc 9 5 2 2 11:8 33
12 Petrolul 9 2 3 4 9:15 25
13 Farul Constanta 9 1 3 5 8:11 25
14 FC Hermannstadt 9 3 4 2 13:10 25
15 Unirea Slobozia 9 2 3 4 11:13 22
16 Metaloglobus Bucharest 9 2 4 3 10:14 16
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Main)