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Otelul vs FC UTA Arad

Romania Romania

Superliga 2025/2026 Stadionul Otelul
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Otelul play FC UTA Arad in the Superliga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Otelul averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. FC UTA Arad averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Otelul won 2, FC UTA Arad won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Otelul and 1.50 for FC UTA Arad. This points to a FC UTA Arad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Otelul
31%
Draws
37%
FC UTA Arad
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: FC UTA Arad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Otelul picked up more points recently compared to FC UTA Arad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Otelul Clean Sheet 16%
FC UTA Arad Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otelul FC UTA Arad
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs FC UTA Arad
1:0
Feb 20, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs FC UTA Arad
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs Otelul
0:4
Mar 16, 2025 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs Otelul
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 Superliga
Otelul vs FC UTA Arad
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otelul 32 / 100
FC UTA Arad 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otelul FC UTA Arad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC UTA Arad or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Otelul attacking → ← attacking FC UTA Arad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otelul scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

FC UTA Arad let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Otelul went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC UTA Arad lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 45
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
7FC UTA Arad952214:739
8FCSB942313:937
9Otelul942317:1535
10FC Botosani933313:1733
11Miercurea Ciuc952211:833
12Petrolul92349:1525
13Farul Constanta91358:1125
14FC Hermannstadt934213:1025
15Unirea Slobozia923411:1322
16Metaloglobus Bucharest924310:1416