Sport Picks
Otepaa vs Narva United Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2016/2017 Tehvandi Staadion, Otepää 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Narva United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Otepaa come out ahead of Narva United on wins alone.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Otepaa taking it.
- Otepaa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Narva United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Otepaa Clean Sheet 10%
Narva United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Otepaa | Narva United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 11 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.61 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.39 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 8, 2016 Estonian Cup
Otepaa vs Narva United
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Otepaa 47 / 100
Narva United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Otepaa Narva United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Otepaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Otepaa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (23 games).
Defensive concern: Narva United conceded in 82% of 11 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Otepaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Otepaa VS Narva United
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Otepaa
(Home) 09 Oct
Eston Villa II
3 : 0 Otepaa
13 Aug
Parnu Sadam
1 : 2 Otepaa
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3 Otepaa
25 Jul
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 2 Otepaa
Page 1 of 5
21 Jun
Otepaa
6 : 0 JK Jalgpallihaigla
08 Jun
Otepaa
1 : 2 Narva United
15 Jul
Otepaa
0 : 2 Rakvere
12 Jun
Otepaa
2 : 1 Dinamo Tallinn
19 Jul
Otepaa
0 : 1 Tartu SK 10 II
Page 1 of 2
Narva United
(Away) 08 Aug
Narva United
0 : 8 Flora
26 Jul
Narva United
2 : 1 Parnu JK Vaprus
10 May
FCI Tallinn
2 : 0 Narva United
12 Apr
Narva United
3 : 1 Kuressaare
19 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3 Narva United
Page 1 of 3
10 May
FCI Tallinn
2 : 0 Narva United
19 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3 Narva United
26 Jul
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 4 Narva United
08 Jun
Otepaa
1 : 2 Narva United
28 Jun
Maardu United
4 : 3 Narva United
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tulevik 4
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Maardu United -
TBD -
Roosu -
Sillamae Kalev -
Tartu Ulikool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
Castovanni Eagles -
Pedajamae -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Merkuur Tartu 6
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Koeru 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 1
Kadakas 2
Levadia Tallinn III 8
Raudteetoolised 0
Fellin 0
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Santos Tartu 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Tallinna Kalev 14
Paduvere SK Illi 0
IceBears 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Helios 2
SK Taaksi 3
Flora U19 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
Lelle 1
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 6
Tallinna Depoo 0
TBD -
Viimsi JK 2 -
Jogeva Wolves 7
Reaal 0
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Rakvere 13
FC Sssolutions 0
Tabasalu 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Nomme Utd 24
Oismae Torm 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Kalju 8
Tallinn Forza 0
TBD -
Narva -
Kose -
TBD -
Enamasti Pealekata 0
JK Poseidon 7
Torva JK -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 2 0
Ambla 4
Tartu JK Welco 6
Igiliikur 0
FCP Parnu 0
Flora 11
Levadia -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu II 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Raplamaa 4
Rada Kuusalu 0
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
FC Tartu -
TBD -
Kaitseliit -
Eston Villa -
Tallinn Piraaja 11
Tallinna Wolves 1
TBD -
FCI Tallinn -
Narva United 2
Otepaa 1
FC Ararat -
Jarva-Jaani -
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 2
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Valga Warrior 0
Twister Tallinn 7
Kalju III -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa 4
Navi Vutiselts 0
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Terav Sats 2
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Soccernet 8
Jogeva Wolves II 1
Vaatsa Vald -
Kuressaare -
1/32-finals
Tulevik 13
Loo JK 0
Maardu United 2
Sillamae Kalev 10
Tartu Ulikool 3
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Castovanni Eagles 0
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Merkuur Tartu 3
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Kadakas 5
Levadia Tallinn III 4
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Elva 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
SK Taaksi 5
Flora U19 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Imavere Forss 0
Molycorp Silmet 2
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Rakvere 5
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 2
Narva 0
Kose 0
JK Poseidon 2
Torva JK 5
Ambla 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Flora 8
Levadia 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 2
Raplamaa 3
Raasiku Joker 4
FC Tartu 5
Eston Villa 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Narva United 4
Jarva-Jaani 1
TransferWise 1
Viimsi JK 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Twister Tallinn -
Kalju III 0
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Marjamaa -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva 0
Terav Sats 3
Legion 1
Ganvix Turi 0
Soccernet 1
Kuressaare 5
1/16-finals
Tulevik 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Tartu Ulikool 4
SK EPMU Tartu 6
Rumori Calcio 4
Kadakas 3
Levadia Tallinn III 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Tallinna Kalev 5
SK Taaksi 0
Flora U19 5
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 10
JK Poseidon 0
Torva JK 0
Flora 5
Levadia 7
Raasiku Joker 0
FC Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 11
Narva United 1
Viimsi JK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Marjamaa 2
Terav Sats 0
Legion 2
Kuressaare 3
1/8-finals
Tulevik 5
SK EPMU Tartu 0
Rumori Calcio 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev 11
Molycorp Silmet 0
FCI Tallinn II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Kalju 1
Flora 0
Levadia 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Marjamaa 0
Kuressaare 5
Quarter-finals
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Kuressaare 1
Semi-finals
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 0
Final
Tammeka Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 2
