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OTP vs JS Hercules

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2024 Heinäpää, Oulu
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Hietala R. In: Torabihaghighi S.
Out: Hietala R.
23' Event
Sainila E.
46'
Sub
Rauma K. In: Sarajarvi K.
Out: Rauma K.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C 2024 game between OTP and JS Hercules finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward JS Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
OTP
15%
Draws
57%
JS Hercules
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JS Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • JS Hercules carry the better recent record into this one.
  • JS Hercules are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
OTP Clean Sheet 20%
JS Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OTP JS Hercules
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 19
Draws 1 3
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 1.1 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.87 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules vs OTP
1:2
Aug 30, 2024 Kakkonen Group C
OTP vs JS Hercules
0:4
Aug 10, 2024 Kakkonen Group C
OTP vs JS Hercules
2:4
Jun 8, 2024 Kakkonen Group C
JS Hercules vs OTP
1:2
Jul 27, 2023 Kakkonen Group C
OTP vs JS Hercules
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OTP Compare

Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.3

JS Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Korkala V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sainila E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OTP 10 / 100
JS Hercules 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OTP JS Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JS Hercules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JS Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 40 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: OTP scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: JS Hercules registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS JS Hercules
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 4
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OTP

(Home)
11 Apr
OTP
1 : 8
VPS 2
28 Sept
JS Hercules
1 : 2
OTP
22 Sept
OTP
2 : 3
JPS Jyvaskyla
14 Sept
OPS
5 : 0
OTP
07 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
2 : 1
OTP
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JS Hercules

(Away)
19 Sept
JS Hercules
3 : 5
SJK Akatemia 2
11 Sept
TP-47
0 : 1
JS Hercules
06 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 0
JS Hercules
22 Aug
JS Hercules
3 : 1
Jaro 2
15 Aug
VPS 2
3 : 1
JS Hercules
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