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Otrant vs Arsenal Tivat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Olympic (Velika Plaza), Ulcinj
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Otrant host Arsenal Tivat in the Prva Crnogorska Liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Otrant at 1.74 goals for, 1.22 against; Arsenal Tivat at 0.89 for, 1.68 against. Head-to-head, Otrant have won 2 to Arsenal Tivat's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.06, favoring Otrant. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Otrant
15%
Draws
26%
Arsenal Tivat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otrant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Otrant lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal Tivat.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Otrant taking it.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Otrant Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otrant Arsenal Tivat
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.74 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Otrant vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
May 18, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Arsenal Tivat
4:1
Mar 29, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Arsenal Tivat
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otrant 49 / 100
Arsenal Tivat 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otrant Arsenal Tivat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Otrant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otrant scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Arsenal Tivat conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Otrant has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Otrant VS Arsenal Tivat
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Otrant

(Home)
08 Oct
Otrant
2 : 2
Mladost DG
26 Sept
Dinamo City
4 : 1
Otrant
20 Sept
Otrant
4 : 1
Jezero
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
10 Sept
Bokelj
2 : 1
Otrant
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Tivat

(Away)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Buducnost 10 4 3 3 11:7 15
3 Sutjeska 10 4 3 3 11:7 15
4 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
5 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)