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Stadium Background

Otrant vs Decic

Montenegro Montenegro

Montenegrin Cup Stadion Olympic (Velika Plaza), Ulcinj
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Golubovic S.
35'
Sub
Dragojevic M. In: Radosevic D.
Out: Dragojevic M.
36'
Seratlic E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Otrant
20%
Draws
36%
Decic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Otrant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Medium Confidence
  • Otrant have won more games recently than Decic.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Otrant have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Decic, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Otrant Clean Sheet 20%
Decic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otrant Decic
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Montenegrin Cup
Decic vs Otrant
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Montenegrin Cup
Otrant vs Decic
1:2
May 4, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Otrant
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Decic
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Otrant
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otrant Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique Chagas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Decic Compare

Top Goalscorer Golubovic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bajovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otrant 36 / 100
Decic 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otrant Decic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otrant found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Decic let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Otrant remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Otrant VS Decic
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Otrant

(Home)
02 Aug
Mladost DG
2 : 1
Otrant
26 Jul
Beselidhja Lezha
3 : 1
Otrant
25 Jul
Otrant
2 : 1
Vllaznia
19 Jul
Bokelj
1 : 0
Otrant
19 Jul
Otrant
3 : 2
Napredak
Page 1 of 6

Decic

(Away)
02 Aug
Decic
0 : 0
Arsenal Tivat
15 Jul
Decic
1 : 2
FK Liepaja
09 Jul
FK Liepaja
1 : 0
Decic
04 Jul
Decic
4 : 1
Arsenal Tivat
17 Jun
Vllaznia
1 : 1
Decic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Decic 3
Buducnost 2
Sutjeska 3
Lovcen 1
Jedinstvo 0
Petrovac 2
Otrant 2
Rudar 1
Iskra Danilovgrad 3
Arsenal Tivat 0
Mornar Bar 1
Grbalj 0
Igalo 0
Mladost DG 4
Jezero 4
Bokelj 3
Quarter-finals
Decic 2
Sutjeska 1
Petrovac 2
Otrant 3
Iskra Danilovgrad 0
Mornar Bar 4
Mladost DG 0
Jezero 2
Semi-finals
Decic 3
Otrant 1
Mornar Bar 3
Jezero 1
Final
Decic 0
Mornar Bar 1