Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Otrant vs FK Podgorica

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Rudovic V.

AI Match Summary

Otrant in this Druga Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Otrant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Otrant
20%
Draws
47%
FK Podgorica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Podgorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Otrant have won more games recently than FK Podgorica.
  • Model gives FK Podgorica a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Otrant here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Otrant Clean Sheet 16%
FK Podgorica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otrant FK Podgorica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Druga Liga
Otrant vs FK Podgorica
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Otrant
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 Druga Liga
Otrant vs FK Podgorica
7:1
Sep 14, 2025 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Otrant
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
FK Podgorica vs Otrant
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otrant Compare

Top Goalscorer Rudovic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59

FK Podgorica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otrant 23 / 100
FK Podgorica 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otrant FK Podgorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Podgorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otrant's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Otrant stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

FK Podgorica has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Otrant VS FK Podgorica
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Otrant

(Home)
15 Aug
Sutjeska
1 : 4
Otrant
09 Aug
Otrant
0 : 0
Petrovac
02 Aug
Mladost DG
2 : 1
Otrant
26 Jul
Beselidhja Lezha
3 : 1
Otrant
25 Jul
Otrant
2 : 1
Vllaznia
Page 1 of 6

FK Podgorica

(Away)
16 Aug
Lovcen
0 : 3
FK Podgorica
24 May
FK Podgorica
3 : 1
Berane
20 May
Rudar
0 : 0
FK Podgorica
16 May
FK Podgorica
5 : 2
Internacional Podgorica
10 May
Otrant
1 : 0
FK Podgorica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 36 23 5 8 81:31 74
2 Grbalj 36 21 4 11 63:42 67
3 Iskra Danilovgrad 36 17 13 6 51:34 64
4 Berane 36 12 14 10 45:36 50
5 Kom Podgorica 36 15 5 16 47:43 50
6 Lovcen 36 14 6 16 34:45 48
7 FK Podgorica 36 13 8 15 39:46 47
8 Rudar 36 12 9 15 47:48 45
9 Igalo 36 8 8 20 21:58 32
10 Internacional Podgorica 36 5 8 23 31:76 23
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)