Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Otrant vs Grbalj

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Djuricic S.
5' Event
Caique Chagas
6' Event
Stanisavic S.

AI Match Summary

Otrant in this Druga Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Otrant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Otrant
20%
Draws
51%
Grbalj
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grbalj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Grbalj haven't matched Otrant's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Druga Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Otrant Clean Sheet 20%
Grbalj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otrant Grbalj
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.91 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Druga Liga
Otrant vs Grbalj
4:2
Mar 28, 2026 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Otrant
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Druga Liga
Otrant vs Grbalj
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Otrant
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Otrant
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otrant Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique Chagas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vujacic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Grbalj Compare

Top Goalscorer Djuricic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stanisavic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otrant 36 / 100
Grbalj 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otrant Grbalj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otrant's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Grbalj conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Otrant has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Otrant VS Grbalj
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Otrant

(Home)
09 Aug
Otrant
0 : 0
Petrovac
02 Aug
Mladost DG
2 : 1
Otrant
26 Jul
Beselidhja Lezha
3 : 1
Otrant
25 Jul
Otrant
2 : 1
Vllaznia
19 Jul
Bokelj
1 : 0
Otrant
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Grbalj

(Away)
03 Jun
Grbalj
0 : 2
Bokelj
29 May
Bokelj
0 : 0
Grbalj
24 May
Grbalj
2 : 0
Internacional Podgorica
20 May
Otrant
4 : 2
Grbalj
16 May
Kom Podgorica
0 : 2
Grbalj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 36 23 5 8 81:31 74
2 Grbalj 36 21 4 11 63:42 67
3 Iskra Danilovgrad 36 17 13 6 51:34 64
4 Berane 36 12 14 10 45:36 50
5 Kom Podgorica 36 15 5 16 47:43 50
6 Lovcen 36 14 6 16 34:45 48
7 FK Podgorica 36 13 8 15 39:46 47
8 Rudar 36 12 9 15 47:48 45
9 Igalo 36 8 8 20 21:58 32
10 Internacional Podgorica 36 5 8 23 31:76 23
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)