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Otrant vs Jezero

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Olympic (Velika Plaza), Ulcinj
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rudovic V.
(Penalty)
6' Event
Raicevic M.
8'
Nishimura A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga game between Otrant and Jezero finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Otrant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Otrant
20%
Draws
29%
Jezero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Otrant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Otrant come out ahead of Jezero on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Otrant Clean Sheet 68%
Jezero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otrant Jezero
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.89 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Jezero
4:1
Apr 20, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Otrant
2:2
Feb 26, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Jezero
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Otrant
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Jezero
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otrant Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Jezero Compare

Top Goalscorer Raicevic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otrant 41 / 100
Jezero 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otrant Jezero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Otrant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otrant's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Jezero let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Otrant went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Otrant VS Jezero
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Otrant

(Home)
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
10 Sept
Bokelj
2 : 1
Otrant
05 Sept
Otrant
2 : 0
Buducnost
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
23 Aug
Otrant
0 : 3
Decic
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Jezero

(Away)
15 Sept
Jezero
1 : 1
Bokelj
10 Sept
Buducnost
3 : 0
Jezero
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1
Jezero
22 Aug
Jezero
0 : 0
Sutjeska
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
2 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
3 Decic 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 Otrant 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
5 Mornar Bar 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
6 Bokelj 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
7 Mladost DG 8 3 1 4 8:12 10
8 Jezero 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)