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Otrant vs Mornar Bar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Montenegrin Cup Stadion Olympic (Velika Plaza), Ulcinj
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Montenegrin Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Mornar Bar have shipped 0.59 goals a game lately, while Otrant have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.7. Past meetings favor Otrant slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Mornar Bar. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Otrant
15%
Draws
37%
Mornar Bar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otrant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Otrant haven't matched Mornar Bar's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Mornar Bar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mornar Bar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Otrant Clean Sheet 20%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otrant Mornar Bar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 19
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.7 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Otrant
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Mornar Bar
6:2
Dec 7, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Otrant
1:0
Oct 2, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Mornar Bar
1:2
Aug 4, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Otrant
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otrant 32 / 100
Mornar Bar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otrant Mornar Bar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Otrant scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Otrant went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mornar Bar let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Otrant VS Mornar Bar
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Otrant

(Home)
26 Sept
Dinamo City
4 : 1
Otrant
20 Sept
Otrant
4 : 1
Jezero
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
10 Sept
Bokelj
2 : 1
Otrant
05 Sept
Otrant
2 : 0
Buducnost
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Mornar Bar

(Away)
02 Oct
Mladost DG
1 : 5
Mornar Bar
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Lovcen -
Jezero -
Sutjeska -
Decic -
Petrovac -
Kom Podgorica -
Arsenal Tivat -
Grbalj -
Mladost DG -
Iskra Danilovgrad -
Berane -
Jedinstvo -
Bokelj -
Buducnost -
Otrant -
Mornar Bar -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -