Sport Picks
Ottawa Fury vs Charleston
USA
USL Championship 2019 
Match Events
27'
27'
Higashi K.
Assist: Paterson AJ
40'
40'
Samb M.
Assist: Obasi O.
71'
71'
Sub
Francois C. In: Oliveira K.
Out: Francois C.
AI Match Summary
Charleston in this USL Championship 2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Charleston lately — more wins on the board than Ottawa Fury.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Charleston arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Charleston, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Ottawa Fury Clean Sheet 16%
Charleston Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ottawa Fury | Charleston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.5 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 23, 2019 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Charleston
1:2
Jun 26, 2019 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Charleston
3:2
Mar 10, 2019 USL Championship
Charleston vs Ottawa Fury
1:1
Oct 13, 2018 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Charleston
0:2
May 19, 2018 USL Championship
Charleston vs Ottawa Fury
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ottawa Fury Compare
Top Goalscorer Samb M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Charleston Compare
Top Goalscorer Higashi K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ottawa Fury 36 / 100
Charleston 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ottawa Fury Charleston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ottawa Fury's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Charleston let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Ottawa Fury stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Charleston
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ottawa Fury
(Home) 23 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 2 Charleston
19 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Ottawa Fury
12 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 1 Bethlehem Steel FC
09 Oct
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2 Ottawa Fury
02 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 2 Charleston
12 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 1 Bethlehem Steel FC
02 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
22 Sept
Ottawa Fury
4 : 1 Hartford Athletic
18 Sept
Ottawa Fury
1 : 0 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 3
Charleston
(Away) 18 Jul
Charleston
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
11 Jul
Charleston
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
04 Jul
Indy Eleven
2 : 0 Charleston
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1 Loudoun United
20 Jun
Sporting Jax
2 : 5 Charleston
Page 1 of 7
04 Jul
Indy Eleven
2 : 0 Charleston
20 Jun
Sporting Jax
2 : 5 Charleston
10 Jun
Tampa Bay
2 : 2 Charleston
24 May
New Mexico
1 : 0 Charleston
16 May
Richmond Kickers
0 : 4 Charleston
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Nashville SC-
TBD-
Ottawa Fury1
Charleston2
Indy Eleven-
TBD-
TBD-
New York Red Bulls II-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds-
TBD-
North Carolina FC2
Birmingham Legion3
Louisville City-
TBD-
TBD-
Tampa Bay-
Phoenix Rising-
TBD-
Austin Bold2
Ventura County0
Real Monarchs-
TBD-
TBD-
Orange County SC-
Monterey Bay-
TBD-
TBD-
El Paso Locomotive-
Reno 1868-
TBD-
Sacramento Republic2
New Mexico1
1/8-finals
Nashville SC3
Charleston1
Indy Eleven1
New York Red Bulls II0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds7
Birmingham Legion0
Louisville City2
Tampa Bay1
Phoenix Rising1
Austin Bold0
Real Monarchs6
Orange County SC2
Monterey Bay2
El Paso Locomotive3
Reno 18681
Sacramento Republic3
Quarter-finals
Nashville SC0
Indy Eleven1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Louisville City2
Phoenix Rising1
Real Monarchs2
El Paso Locomotive3
Sacramento Republic0
Semi-finals
Indy Eleven1
Louisville City3
Real Monarchs2
El Paso Locomotive1
Final
Louisville City1
Real Monarchs3