Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W

Canada Canada

NSL Women TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Forbes M.
12' Event
Dougherty M.
(Penalty)
13' Event
Stewart T.
Assist: Dougherty M.

AI Match Summary

Ottawa Rapid FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ottawa Rapid FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ottawa Rapid FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Calgary Wild FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ottawa Rapid FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ottawa Rapid FC W have won more games recently than Calgary Wild FC W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ottawa Rapid FC W taking it.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ottawa Rapid FC W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Ottawa Rapid FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottawa Rapid FC W Calgary Wild FC W
Matches Played 13 12
Wins 10 0
Draws 1 2
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
1:2
Jul 5, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
3:1
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ottawa Rapid FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Melenhorst K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Forbes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottawa Rapid FC W 85 / 100
Calgary Wild FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottawa Rapid FC W Calgary Wild FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ottawa Rapid FC W scored in 100% of their last 13 games.

Calgary Wild FC W let in goals in 100% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Ottawa Rapid FC W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ottawa Rapid FC W VS Calgary Wild FC W
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ottawa Rapid FC W

(Home)
23 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 2
Ottawa Rapid FC W
16 Jul
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 1
Halifax Tides FC W
11 Jul
AFC Toronto W
1 : 2
Ottawa Rapid FC W
05 Jul
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
25 Jun
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 2
Ottawa Rapid FC W
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Calgary Wild FC W

(Away)
23 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 2
Ottawa Rapid FC W
18 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
0 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
11 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
2 : 4
Vancouver Rise FC W
05 Jul
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Jun
Calgary Wild FC W
0 : 1
Halifax Tides FC W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W13101230:1531
2Montreal Roses FC W1373324:1324
3AFC Toronto W1253417:1318
4Halifax Tides FC W1352615:1217
5Vancouver Rise FC W1351720:3016
6Calgary Wild FC W1202109:322
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)