Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W

Canada Canada

NSL Women TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Melenhorst K.
Assist: Pridham D.
42' Event
Fridlund J.
Assist: Lee Min-a
55'
Sub
Melenhorst K. In: Belzile F.
Out: Melenhorst K.

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between Ottawa Rapid FC W and Calgary Wild FC W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ottawa Rapid FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ottawa Rapid FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Calgary Wild FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ottawa Rapid FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ottawa Rapid FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ottawa Rapid FC W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ottawa Rapid FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottawa Rapid FC W Calgary Wild FC W
Matches Played 12 11
Wins 9 0
Draws 1 2
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 2.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
3:1
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ottawa Rapid FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Melenhorst K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fridlund J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottawa Rapid FC W 85 / 100
Calgary Wild FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottawa Rapid FC W Calgary Wild FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ottawa Rapid FC W scored in 100% of their last 12 games.

Calgary Wild FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 11 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ottawa Rapid FC W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ottawa Rapid FC W VS Calgary Wild FC W
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ottawa Rapid FC W

(Home)
16 Jul
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 1
Halifax Tides FC W
11 Jul
AFC Toronto W
1 : 2
Ottawa Rapid FC W
05 Jul
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
25 Jun
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 2
Ottawa Rapid FC W
21 Jun
Ottawa Rapid FC W
1 : 1
AFC Toronto W
Page 1 of 3

Calgary Wild FC W

(Away)
18 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
0 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
11 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
2 : 4
Vancouver Rise FC W
05 Jul
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Jun
Calgary Wild FC W
0 : 1
Halifax Tides FC W
21 Jun
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W1291228:1428
2Montreal Roses FC W1273224:1124
3Vancouver Rise FC W1251620:2916
4AFC Toronto W1143415:1315
5Halifax Tides FC W1242614:1214
6Calgary Wild FC W110298:302
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)