Sport Picks
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Canada
NSL Women TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON 
Match Events
4'
4'
Bennett E.
Assist: Whitaker H.
17'
17'
Pechersky E.
Assist: Bennett E.
30'
30'
Fridlund J.
Assist: Forbes M.
AI Match Summary
The NSL Women game between Ottawa Rapid FC W and Montreal Roses FC W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montreal Roses FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Ottawa Rapid FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Montreal Roses FC W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Ottawa Rapid FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ottawa Rapid FC W | Montreal Roses FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 23 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
0:0
Sep 6, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
2:3
Jun 25, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
1:2
May 23, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ottawa Rapid FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Fridlund J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Melenhorst K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Montreal Roses FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Bennett E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pechersky E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ottawa Rapid FC W 18 / 100
Montreal Roses FC W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ottawa Rapid FC W Montreal Roses FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montreal Roses FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ottawa Rapid FC W scored in 87% of their last 23 outings.
Montreal Roses FC W let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Ottawa Rapid FC W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ottawa Rapid FC W VS Montreal Roses FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ottawa Rapid FC W
(Home) 02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0 Ottawa Rapid FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0 Ottawa Rapid FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1 Calgary Wild FC W
13 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
4 : 0 Ottawa Rapid FC W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3 Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 5
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1 Calgary Wild FC W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3 Montreal Roses FC W
22 Aug
Ottawa Rapid FC W
1 : 5 Vancouver Rise FC W
09 Aug
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 2 AFC Toronto W
16 Jul
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 1 Halifax Tides FC W
Page 1 of 3
Montreal Roses FC W
(Away) 02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0 Ottawa Rapid FC W
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0 Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2 Montreal Roses FC W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2 AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3 Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 5
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0 Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2 Montreal Roses FC W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3 Montreal Roses FC W
16 Aug
AFC Toronto W
0 : 2 Montreal Roses FC W
30 Jul
Vancouver Rise FC W
3 : 4 Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montreal Roses FC W | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 40:25 | 41 |
| 2 | AFC Toronto W | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36:21 | 37 |
| 3 | Ottawa Rapid FC W | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 42:39 | 36 |
| 4 | Vancouver Rise FC W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 41:47 | 27 |
| 5 | Halifax Tides FC W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 6 | Calgary Wild FC W | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:52 | 18 |
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)
