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Ottestad vs Lillehammer

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 9
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 9 game between Ottestad and Lillehammer finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lillehammer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ottestad
15%
Draws
57%
Lillehammer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillehammer come out ahead of Ottestad on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Lillehammer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Ottestad Clean Sheet 10%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottestad Lillehammer
Matches Played 45 47
Wins 11 29
Draws 7 10
Losses 27 8
Goals Scored 1.67 2.96
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 9
Ottestad vs Lillehammer
0:4
Jul 2, 2016 Division 3 - Group 9
Lillehammer vs Ottestad
3:2
Jul 12, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Ottestad vs Lillehammer
3:0
Apr 21, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillehammer vs Ottestad
2:3
Aug 9, 2013 Division 3 - Group 3
Ottestad vs Lillehammer
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottestad 10 / 100
Lillehammer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottestad Lillehammer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillehammer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ottestad found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (45 games).

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Lillehammer conceded in 66% of 47 recent games.

Lillehammer's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lillehammer
0 Goals Scored 4.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ottestad

(Home)
19 May
Elverum
2 : 1
Ottestad
01 May
Ottestad
0 : 1
Ham-Kam
27 Oct
Ottestad
1 : 0
Tynset
20 Oct
Brumunddal
4 : 0
Ottestad
13 Oct
Orkla
4 : 0
Ottestad
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Lillehammer

(Away)
19 Sept
Lillehammer
7 : 1
Bjorkelangen
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
05 Sept
Lillehammer
3 : 0
Raelingen
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
22 Aug
Lillehammer
2 : 4
Strommen
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