Sport Picks

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Ottestad vs Sander

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2014 game between Ottestad and Sander finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ottestad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ottestad
15%
Draws
49%
Sander
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sander

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sander's 1.23 goals per match outpaces what Ottestad have produced (1.17).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ottestad here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ottestad Clean Sheet 10%
Sander Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottestad Sander
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 1.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.6 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Ottestad vs Sander
4:2
Jun 7, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Sander vs Ottestad
1:0
Aug 11, 2012 Division 3 - Group 4
Sander vs Ottestad
2:3
Apr 27, 2012 Division 3 - Group 4
Ottestad vs Sander
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottestad 30 / 100
Sander 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottestad Sander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sander Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sander's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Ottestad scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sander's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ottestad VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ottestad

(Home)
19 May
Elverum
2 : 1
Ottestad
01 May
Ottestad
0 : 1
Ham-Kam
27 Oct
Ottestad
1 : 0
Tynset
20 Oct
Brumunddal
4 : 0
Ottestad
13 Oct
Orkla
4 : 0
Ottestad
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Sander

(Away)
22 Oct
Skedsmo
2 : 0
Sander
15 Oct
Sander
0 : 1
Hauerseter
10 Oct
Lillestrom 2
7 : 2
Sander
01 Oct
Sander
2 : 2
Jevnaker
24 Sept
Sander
7 : 3
Hallingdal
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