Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Otwock vs Polonia Warszawa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group VI game between Otwock and Polonia Warszawa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Warszawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Otwock
6%
Draws
90%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Polonia Warszawa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Polonia Warszawa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group VI form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Otwock Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otwock Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Polonia Warszawa vs Otwock
5:1
Nov 7, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Otwock vs Polonia Warszawa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otwock 10 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otwock Polonia Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KSP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Polonia Warszawa let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Polonia Warszawa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Otwock's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Polonia Warszawa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Otwock

(Home)
04 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Otwock
01 Jun
Otwock
0 : 0
Ner Poddebice
28 May
Polonia Warszawa
5 : 1
Otwock
22 May
Otwock
0 : 6
Ursus Warszawa
18 May
Warta Dzialoszyn
2 : 0
Otwock
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Polonia Warszawa

(Away)
18 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 2
Zawisza
15 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
0 : 2
Zlin
11 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
11 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
04 Jul
Wisla Plock
3 : 0
Polonia Warszawa
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)