Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Otwock vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomaszow Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group VI matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomaszow Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Otwock
6%
Draws
90%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomaszow Mazowiecki lately — more wins on the board than Otwock.
  • Model gives Tomaszow Mazowiecki a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Otwock Clean Sheet 10%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otwock Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 4 22
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0 3
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Otwock vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:1
Aug 23, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Otwock
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otwock 10 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otwock Tomaszow Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick T. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tomaszow Mazowiecki conceded in 81% of 43 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Tomaszow Mazowiecki registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Otwock scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Otwock

(Home)
04 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Otwock
01 Jun
Otwock
0 : 0
Ner Poddebice
28 May
Polonia Warszawa
5 : 1
Otwock
22 May
Otwock
0 : 6
Ursus Warszawa
18 May
Warta Dzialoszyn
2 : 0
Otwock
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Tomaszow Mazowiecki

(Away)
24 Jul
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
3 : 1
Spartakus Daleszyce
11 Jul
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 3
Star Starachowice
04 Jul
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 4
Wda Swiecie
30 May
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
24 May
MKS Mlawa
3 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)