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Ouakam vs ASC HLM

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Ouakam Logo

Ouakam

1 - 0
FT
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ouakam in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ouakam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ouakam
35%
Draws
28%
ASC HLM
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ouakam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ouakam have won more games recently than ASC HLM.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ouakam Clean Sheet 68%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouakam ASC HLM
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 18 18
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.77 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs ASC HLM
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Ouakam
0:0
Apr 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs ASC HLM
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Ouakam
1:1
Jun 7, 2011 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Ouakam
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouakam 41 / 100
ASC HLM 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouakam ASC HLM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouakam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ouakam stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ouakam scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: ASC HLM conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ouakam VS ASC HLM
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouakam

(Home)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Ouakam
2 : 3
Generation Foot
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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ASC HLM

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)