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Ouakam vs Guediawaye Prediction & H2H Stats

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Ouakam Logo

Ouakam

1 - 1
FT
Guediawaye Logo

Guediawaye

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Ouakam and Guediawaye finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ouakam
30%
Draws
23%
Guediawaye
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ouakam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ouakam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ouakam's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ouakam Clean Sheet 68%
Guediawaye Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouakam Guediawaye
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 18 8
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Ouakam
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs Guediawaye
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs Guediawaye
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Ouakam
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Ouakam
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouakam 68 / 100
Guediawaye 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouakam Guediawaye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouakam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Guediawaye has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Ouakam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Guediawaye has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ouakam VS Guediawaye
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouakam

(Home)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Ouakam
2 : 3
Generation Foot
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
Page 1 of 6

Guediawaye

(Away)
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)