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Ouakam vs US Goree

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Ouakam Logo

Ouakam

2 - 0
FT
US Goree Logo

US Goree

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Ouakam and US Goree finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ouakam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ouakam
35%
Draws
28%
US Goree
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ouakam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • US Goree carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ouakam's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ouakam Clean Sheet 20%
US Goree Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouakam US Goree
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 18 15
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs US Goree
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Ouakam
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Ouakam
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs US Goree
2:2
May 12, 2024 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs US Goree
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouakam 49 / 100
US Goree 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouakam US Goree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouakam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Ouakam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ouakam scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

US Goree's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ouakam VS US Goree
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouakam

(Home)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Ouakam
2 : 3
Generation Foot
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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US Goree

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)