Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Rhimi O.
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Dahmene A.
AI Match Summary
Oued Ellil in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oued Ellil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oued Ellil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Oued Ellil haven't matched Msaken's recent run of results.
- Model gives Oued Ellil a 62% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%
Msaken Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oued Ellil | Msaken |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Msaken
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Oued Ellil
1:1
Jun 8, 2024 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Oued Ellil
0:2
Dec 20, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Msaken
1:0
Feb 19, 2022 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Oued Ellil
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oued Ellil 95 / 100
Msaken 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oued Ellil Msaken
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Oued Ellil scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Msaken's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Oued Ellil has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Oued Ellil VS Msaken
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Oued Ellil
(Home) 08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
12 Apr
Oued Ellil
1 : 0 Msaken
15 Mar
Oued Ellil
0 : 0 Megrine
02 Mar
Oued Ellil
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 3
Msaken
(Away) 11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1 Msaken
Page 1 of 7
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1 Msaken
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0 Msaken
28 Mar
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 Msaken
22 Feb
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Msaken
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
