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Ourense CF vs Arenteiro

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sanchez J.
16' Event
Jelbat A.
39'
Rabadan D.

AI Match Summary

Ourense CF in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ourense CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ourense CF
6%
Draws
4%
Arenteiro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arenteiro haven't matched Ourense CF's recent run of results.
  • Ourense CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ourense CF Arenteiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Arenteiro
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Ourense CF
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Ourense CF
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Arenteiro
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Arenteiro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Jelbat A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ochoa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Arenteiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ourense CF 95 / 100
Arenteiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ourense CF Arenteiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenteiro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Ourense CF found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ourense CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ourense CF VS Arenteiro
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ourense CF

(Home)
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Tenerife
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Ourense CF
10 May
Ourense CF
2 : 4
Celta Vigo B
03 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Ourense CF
26 Apr
Ourense CF
1 : 2
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

Arenteiro

(Away)
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
03 May
Arenteiro
0 : 4
Cacereno
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)