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Ourense CF vs Arenteiro

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sanchez J.
16' Event
Jelbat A.
39'
Rabadan D.

AI Match Summary

Ourense CF in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ourense CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ourense CF
15%
Draws
34%
Arenteiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Arenteiro haven't matched Ourense CF's recent run of results.
  • Ourense CF are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ourense CF Arenteiro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Arenteiro
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Ourense CF
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Ourense CF
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Arenteiro
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Arenteiro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Jelbat A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ochoa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arenteiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ourense CF 51 / 100
Arenteiro 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ourense CF Arenteiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenteiro let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Ourense CF found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Arenteiro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ourense CF VS Arenteiro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ourense CF

(Home)
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0
Ourense CF
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Arenteiro

(Away)
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0
Lalin
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)