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Stadium Background

Ourense CF vs Basconia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Quintero I.
21' Event
Monterroso A.
43' Event
Gonzalez V.

AI Match Summary

Ourense CF in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ourense CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ourense CF
15%
Draws
46%
Basconia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basconia lately — more wins on the board than Ourense CF.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%
Basconia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ourense CF Basconia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Basconia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Monterroso A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ourense CF 41 / 100
Basconia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ourense CF Basconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ourense CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ourense CF scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Basconia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ourense CF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ourense CF VS Basconia
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ourense CF

(Home)
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6

Basconia

(Away)
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Bergantinos 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Portugalete 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4 Eibar B 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Alaves B 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Ourense CF 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Sestao 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
8 Coruxo FC 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Amorebieta 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
10 Basconia 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
11 Compostela 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
12 Atletico Astorga 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
13 Marino De Luanco 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
14 Real Oviedo B 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
16 Arosa SC 3 0 2 1 4:8 2
17 Rayo Cantabria 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Llanera 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)