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Ourense CF vs Coruxo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ourense CF host Coruxo FC in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Coruxo FC have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Ourense CF have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Ourense CF slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2025, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Coruxo FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ourense CF
30%
Draws
23%
Coruxo FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coruxo FC come out ahead of Ourense CF on wins alone.
  • Ourense CF are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 17%
Coruxo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ourense CF Coruxo FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Coruxo FC vs Ourense CF
1:4
Apr 13, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Coruxo FC
5:1
Dec 2, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Ourense CF
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Ourense CF
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Coruxo FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ourense CF 57 / 100
Coruxo FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ourense CF Coruxo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ourense CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Ourense CF found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Coruxo FC conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Ourense CF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ourense CF VS Coruxo FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ourense CF

(Home)
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

Coruxo FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1
Coruxo FC
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Gernika Club
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
7 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)