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Ourense CF vs Eibar B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Algisi V.
43' Event
Ferres L.
63' Event
Lumbreras C.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Ourense CF and Eibar B finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eibar B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ourense CF
15%
Draws
42%
Eibar B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Eibar B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 16%
Eibar B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ourense CF Eibar B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Eibar B
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ourense CF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Eibar B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferres L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lumbreras C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ourense CF 36 / 100
Eibar B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ourense CF Eibar B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ourense CF found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Eibar B has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ourense CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ourense CF VS Eibar B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ourense CF

(Home)
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6

Eibar B

(Away)
27 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Compostela
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Eibar B
29 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Alaves B 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
3 Sestao 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
4 Eibar B 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
5 Ourense CF 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
6 Gernika Club 4 2 2 0 11:3 8
7 Basconia 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Portugalete 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Coruxo FC 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
10 Amorebieta 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
11 Compostela 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
12 Real Oviedo B 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
13 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
14 Atletico Astorga 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
15 Marino De Luanco 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Llanera 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
17 Arosa SC 4 0 2 2 6:13 2
18 Rayo Cantabria 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)