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Ourense CF vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Nchama R.
52' Event
Ramirez P.
90' Event
Gonzalez V.

AI Match Summary

Ourense CF in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ourense CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ourense CF
30%
Draws
31%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gimnastic de Torrelavega lately — more wins on the board than Ourense CF.
  • Model gives Ourense CF a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ourense CF Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
3:0
Mar 10, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Ourense CF
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2:1
Sep 27, 2023 Copa Federacion
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Ourense CF
2:1
Apr 9, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Ourense CF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Nchama R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramirez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ourense CF 95 / 100
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ourense CF Gimnastic de Torrelavega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ourense CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ourense CF scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Gimnastic de Torrelavega has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Ourense CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ourense CF VS Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ourense CF

(Home)
01 Nov
Bergantinos
1 : 1
Ourense CF
25 Oct
Ourense CF
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
17 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 1
Coruxo FC
10 Oct
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
Ourense CF
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 6

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Away)
01 Nov
Amorebieta
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
3 : 1
UD Ourense
25 Oct
Ourense CF
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 5
Alaves B
10 Oct
Sestao
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestao 9 7 1 1 11:3 22
2 Alaves B 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Bergantinos 9 5 3 1 20:11 18
4 Eibar B 9 5 2 2 15:8 17
5 Amorebieta 9 5 1 3 11:8 16
6 Compostela 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
7 Ourense CF 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
8 Real Oviedo B 9 4 2 3 12:15 14
9 Portugalete 9 3 4 2 12:12 13
10 Gernika Club 9 2 5 2 15:9 11
11 Basconia 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
12 Coruxo FC 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
13 Arosa SC 9 1 5 3 15:20 8
14 Rayo Cantabria 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
15 Marino De Luanco 9 2 2 5 8:13 8
16 Atletico Astorga 9 2 1 6 11:14 7
17 Llanera 9 2 1 6 12:21 7
18 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)