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Ourense CF vs Tenerife

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense
Ourense CF Logo

Ourense CF

2 - 1
FT
Tenerife Logo

Tenerife

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Gallego E.
45'
Valles G.
54'
Gallego E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ourense CF in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ourense CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ourense CF
20%
Draws
29%
Tenerife
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ourense CF haven't matched Tenerife's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ourense CF a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ourense CF Tenerife
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Tenerife
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Tenerife vs Ourense CF
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochoa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Tenerife Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallego E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ourense CF 59 / 100
Tenerife 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ourense CF Tenerife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ourense CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ourense CF found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ourense CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Tenerife conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ourense CF VS Tenerife
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ourense CF

(Home)
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6

Tenerife

(Away)
26 Sept
Tenerife
1 : 1
Cadiz
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
05 Sept
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1
Tenerife
28 Aug
Tenerife
0 : 1
Gijon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)