Sport Picks

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Ouriense W vs Vilaverdense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Goncalves G.
Assist: Bejleri M.
69' Event
Goncalves G.
Assist: Laura Marin

AI Match Summary

Vilaverdense W in this Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilaverdense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ouriense W
15%
Draws
0%
Vilaverdense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ouriense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ouriense W lately — more wins on the board than Vilaverdense W.
  • Model gives Ouriense W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 20%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouriense W Vilaverdense W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 0.8 0.39
Goals Conceded 2.53 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Vilaverdense W
0:2
Jan 14, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Ouriense W
1:1
Mar 19, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Vilaverdense W
0:2
Oct 30, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Ouriense W
0:3
Jan 6, 2019 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Vilaverdense W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ouriense W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4

Vilaverdense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouriense W 85 / 100
Vilaverdense W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouriense W Vilaverdense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouriense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vilaverdense W conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Vilaverdense W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Ouriense W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vilaverdense W
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 4.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouriense W

(Home)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

Vilaverdense W

(Away)
11 May
Damaiense W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
03 May
Vilaverdense W
0 : 5
Maritimo W
13 Apr
Vilaverdense W
0 : 6
Famalicao W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
16 Mar
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7
Torreense W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 18 2 2 66:12 56
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 68:10 54
3 Racing Power W 22 13 4 5 34:13 43
4 Damaiense W 22 11 4 7 31:33 37
5 Braga W 22 11 3 8 47:30 36
6 Valadares Gaia W 22 11 3 8 24:19 36
7 Maritimo W 22 10 1 11 33:41 31
8 Torreense W 22 8 6 8 33:39 30
9 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 2 15 18:51 17
10 Famalicao W 22 5 1 16 18:41 16
11 Vilaverdense W 22 3 3 16 15:52 12
12 Ouriense W 22 2 4 16 15:61 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)