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Ovarense W vs A-dos-Francos W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2019/2020
Sat, May 23, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ovarense W host A-dos-Francos W in the Liga BPI Women 2019/2020. Ovarense W are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Ovarense W at 1.38 goals for, 1.13 against; A-dos-Francos W at 0.88 for, 2.25 against. Past meetings favor A-dos-Francos W slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Ovarense W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ovarense W
6%
Draws
4%
A-dos-Francos W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ovarense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ovarense W come out ahead of A-dos-Francos W on wins alone.
  • Ovarense W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ovarense W Clean Sheet 20%
A-dos-Francos W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ovarense W A-dos-Francos W
Matches Played 22 23
Wins 6 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2020 Liga BPI Women
Ovarense W vs A-dos-Francos W
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Liga BPI Women
A-dos-Francos W vs Ovarense W
1:2
Jan 27, 2019 Liga BPI Women
Ovarense W vs A-dos-Francos W
1:2
Oct 14, 2018 Liga BPI Women
A-dos-Francos W vs Ovarense W
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ovarense W 85 / 100
A-dos-Francos W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ovarense W A-dos-Francos W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OVA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ovarense W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

A-dos-Francos W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Ovarense W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ovarense W VS A-dos-Francos W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting W15140169:1042
2SL Benfica W14130199:439
3Braga W14111261:834
4Estoril Praia W1581626:2725
5C.F. Benfica W1580731:2924
6Maritimo W1470722:2821
7Valadares Gaia W1561824:4019
8Ouriense W1553727:2718
9Albergaria/Durit W1552824:2517
10Ovarense W1423915:409
11Cadima W15131112:543
12A-dos-Francos W1510148:1263