Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ovce Pole vs Vardar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Diabate S.
55' Event
Omeragic A.
58' Event
Spahiu E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. This leg finished 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ovce Pole
25%
Draws
35%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ovce Pole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vardar have won more games recently than Ovce Pole.
  • Vardar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vardar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vardar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ovce Pole Clean Sheet 10%
Vardar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ovce Pole Vardar
Matches Played 2 31
Wins 0 18
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 0.5 2.1
Goals Conceded 4.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Macedonian Cup
Ovce Pole vs Vardar
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ovce Pole Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Vardar Compare

Top Goalscorer Omeragic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diabate S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ovce Pole 10 / 100
Vardar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ovce Pole Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Ovce Pole found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

Defensive concern: Vardar conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ovce Pole VS Vardar
0 Goals Scored 2.38
5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ovce Pole

(Home)
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
22 Jun
Arsimi
4 : 1
Ovce Pole

Vardar

(Away)
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ovce Pole 0
Vardar 5
BVK Konjare 0
Bashkimi 5
Studenicani 1
Pelister 6
Venec Negotino 0
Brera Strumica 8
Vellazerimi 0
Makedonija GP 14
Vardar Negotino -
Rabotnicki -
Kamenica Sasa 1
Shkupi 0
Teteks 1
Bregalnica Stip 4
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
FK Skopje 1
Detonit Plackovica 1
Shkendija Haracine 3
Novaci 1
Ohrid 0
Osogovo 1
Belasica Strumica 3
Krosu Sport Bitola -
Tikves -
Mogila -
Arsimi -
Pobeda Valandovo 1
Struga 10
Sileks -
TBD -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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