Sport Picks
Oxford City vs Chorley
England
National League North 2025/2026 RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford 
Match Events
56'
56'
Clark E.
59'
59'
Campton-Sturridge D.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Oxford City and Chorley finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oxford City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oxford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Oxford City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Oxford City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 68%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oxford City | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Chorley
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Chorley
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Oxford City
3:3
Jan 21, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Oxford City
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 National League North
Oxford City vs Chorley
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oxford City Compare
Top Goalscorer Clark E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Campton-Sturridge D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Chorley Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oxford City 95 / 100
Chorley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oxford City Chorley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oxford City scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Chorley let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Oxford City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oxford City VS Chorley
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Oxford City
(Home) 05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
31 Aug
Worksop
0 : 1 Oxford City
28 Aug
Oxford City
2 : 3 Buxton
22 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 4 Oxford City
18 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 1 Harborough
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
28 Aug
Oxford City
2 : 3 Buxton
18 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 1 Harborough
08 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 0 Bedford
25 Jul
Oxford City
1 : 2 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 3
Chorley
(Away) 05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
22 Aug
Chorley
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
18 Aug
Marine
0 : 2 Chorley
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
18 Aug
Marine
0 : 2 Chorley
15 Aug
South Shields
2 : 1 Chorley
28 Jul
Trafford
2 : 1 Chorley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
